Thursday, October 07, 2004

Predicting quakes?

Slashdot is currently reporting that the NASA JPL Quakesim project has sucessfully predicted 15 out of the last 16, magnitude 5 and above, earthquakes in California.

However, editorial control at Slashdot is typically poor, if you actually read the linked press release you'll find that Quakesim has predicted the locations of the quakes rather than timing. It's still impressive, but not as impressive as the spin that the story is getting on Slashdot would lead you to believe. The press release also carefully steers round the issue of false positives.

Interesting, but not earth shattering, no pun intended...